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Check this out from Democrats.com

Did Kerry actually win over 360 Electoral Votes?

Did Kerry actually win more than 360 Electoral votes?
This analysis shows why he very well may have.

In 2004 Bush officially won by 286-251 electoral votes. But who still
believes that reflected the True Vote?

http://us.share.geocities.com/electionmodel/TruthIsAllFAQResponse.htm#Kerry367

Assumptions:
1- 110.8m Census 2000 votes cast (105.4m recorded)
2- 125.7m Census 2004 votes cast (122.3m recorded)
3- Uncounted votes: Gore 75%
4- 2000 voter mortality prior to 2004: 5% Gore; 4.8% Bush
5- 2000 voter turnout in 2004: 95%
6- Kerry won 71% of Nader voters (12:22am NEP)
7- Kerry won 57% of DNV2k (did not vote in 2000)
8- Kerry won 10% of Bush 2000 voters; Bush won 8% of Gore voters
9- Mortality and uncounted vote rates were uniform in all states

Key Results
-----------
Popular vote:
Kerry  Bush
67.3m 57.5m
53.5% 45.7%

Electoral votes:
367 171

Kerry won the following 11 states which were recorded for Bush:
AZ, AR, CO, FL, IA, MO, NV, NM, OH, TN, WV